Previsão de resultados de nado peito e borboleta na natação com base na história das Olimpíadas

Maciej Hołub; Arkadiusz  Stanula; Jakub Baron; Wojciech Głyk; Thomas Rosemann; Beat  Knechtle

Autores

Maciej Hołub Institute of Sport Sciences, Jerzy Kukuczka Academy of Physical Education, Poland
Arkadiusz Stanula Institute of Sport Sciences, Jerzy Kukuczka Academy of Physical Education, Poland
Jakub Baron Institute of Sport Sciences, Jerzy Kukuczka Academy of Physical Education, Poland
Wojciech Głyk Institute of Sport Sciences, Jerzy Kukuczka Academy of Physical Education, Poland
Thomas Rosemann Institute of Primary Care, University of Zurich, Switzerland
Beat Knechtle Institute of Primary Care, University of Zurich, Switzerland - Medbase St. Gallen Am Vadianplatz, Switzerland

Palavras-chave:

Natação, Performance Atlética, Nado Peito, Nado Borboleta, Análise, Jogos Olímpicos

Resumo

Aqui descrevemos variações históricas no desempenho olímpico de nado peito e borboleta e prevemos os resultados da natação para os Jogos Olímpicos de 2021 em Tóquio. Foram analisados os resultados dos finalistas, vencedores e últimos participantes das finais femininas e masculinas e criado um modelo matemático preditivo. Foram apresentados os tempos previstos para as futuras Olimpíadas. O desempenho da natação entre os atletas olímpicos tem melhorado constantemente, com tempos recordes de 18,51 s para as finalistas femininas nos 100 m borboleta (uma melhoria de 24,63%) e 31,33 s para os finalistas masculinos nos 200 m borboleta (21,44%). Os resultados em todos os grupos analisados mostraram melhora no desempenho atlético e a diferença entre os finalistas diminuiu. O desempenho das mulheres olímpicas melhorou mais rapidamente do que o dos homens, reduzindo a disparidade entre os gêneros. Concluímos que o desempenho da natação entre os atletas olímpicos continua a melhorar.

Nota do Editor: Imagem ilustrativa. O nadador britânico Adam Peaty: desafiando as estatísticas. Fonte: SS PRESS - SATIRO SODRÉ

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NOTA

Artigo adaptado e traduzido para o português pelos editores de NADAR! SWIMMING MAGAZINE para republicação, conforme normas de submissão do periódico. Versão original em: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/18/12/6621 LICENÇA ORIGINAL E DA ADAPTAÇÃO: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. OBS.: Errata em: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/18/16/8401